Modi's recent visit to Ukraine on August 23, 2024, has sparked discussions about India's potential shift towards closer alignment with Western nations, particularly in the context of its historical ties with Russia. This visit marks a significant diplomatic gesture, as it is the first by an Indian Prime Minister to Ukraine, and comes amidst ongoing tensions due to Russia's invasion.

Modi's trip to Kyiv is seen as an attempt to strengthen diplomatic relations with Ukraine while maintaining India's traditional non-alignment stance. Despite India's close ties with Russia, Modi's visit signals a willingness to engage with Ukraine and the West, especially in light of the ongoing conflict. Analysts suggest that this visit is part of a broader strategy to navigate the complexities of international relations, particularly as India seeks to avoid alienating either side.

During his meeting with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Modi emphasized the importance of dialogue and diplomacy to resolve the conflict, reiterating India's position of supporting peace efforts. This approach aligns with India's historical stance of advocating for negotiations rather than taking sides in international disputes.

Balancing Act Between East and West

While Modi's visit to Ukraine is a step towards closer ties with the West, it does not signify a complete shift away from Russia. India continues to rely heavily on Russian oil and military supplies, with over 40% of its oil imports coming from Russia. Modi's previous visit to Moscow just weeks before his trip to Ukraine further illustrates India's commitment to maintaining a balanced foreign policy.

The geopolitical landscape is complicated by the fact that India's relationship with Russia is crucial, especially as tensions with China rise. Analysts believe that India aims to leverage its unique position to act as a mediator while ensuring that it does not lose influence in Moscow.

Key Aspects of PM Modi's Visit

Modi's visit is seen as an attempt to balance India's long-standing relationship with Russia while simultaneously engaging with Ukraine and Western powers. Following his visit to Kyiv, Modi had conversations with both U.S. President Joe Biden and Russian President Vladimir Putin, highlighting India's strategic manoeuvring in a complex geopolitical landscape.

The trip underscores India's commitment to "strategic autonomy," aiming to maintain flexibility in its foreign policy without formal alliances. This approach allows India to engage with both Russia and the West, seeking to enhance its role as a mediator in the conflict while avoiding alienation from either side.

During his meeting with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Modi emphasized the importance of peace and dialogue. The two leaders discussed Ukraine's peace plan and signed agreements in various sectors, including agriculture and humanitarian assistance. This indicates India's intention to strengthen ties with Ukraine while still maintaining its crucial partnership with Russia.

Analysts caution that while Modi's visit is a step towards enhancing India's role as a potential peacemaker, its effectiveness may be limited due to the entrenched positions of both Russia and Ukraine. India's historical ties with Russia complicate its ability to act as an impartial mediator, and expectations for significant breakthroughs should be tempered.

Implications For India’s Foreign Policy

Modi's visit may signal a subtle shift in India's foreign policy, reflecting a desire to recalibrate its relationships in light of changing global dynamics. However, experts suggest that India is unlikely to significantly downgrade its ties with Russia, which remain vital for its security and defence needs.

The U.S. and other Western nations have welcomed Modi's outreach to Ukraine, viewing it as a positive development amid concerns about India's previous abstentions from condemning Russia's actions. This visit could help improve India's image in the West, aligning it more closely with Western interests without fully severing ties with Russia.

Agencies