India May Fail To Repel Chinese Offensive In Case of Escalation, Satellite Imagery Expert Says: Russian Media
China's People Liberation Army (PLA) has been strengthening its position
against India across various frictional points, including near Pangong Tso,
where a disengagement agreement was reached in February, according to recent
satellite imagery.
Chris Biggers, the director of mission applications at the radio frequency
(RF) geospatial intelligence firm HawkEye 360, has noted that PLA's ground
forces remain "near the border at their previous turnaround and throughout the
Galwan valley and east of Kongka La."
Satellite imagery from Oct shows China continuing to build up a position at Pangong Tso, months after agreeing to disengage w/ Indian troops.
— Jack Detsch (@JackDetsch) December 20, 2021
Chinese and Indian tanks were stationed within firing distance of one other near the area in early 2021, per Indian media.
📷: @Maxar pic.twitter.com/yO7x0TMd0s
Planet imagery bought in November established the presence of Chinese
deployments at the Y-Nalla junction in Depsang Valley, inhibiting Indian
movement throughout the area.
"Although the Indian Army has reinforced the sub-sector north in several
locations around Qizil Langer and Daulat Beg Oldi (and continued to do so in
2021), it would probably be unable to repel a Chinese offensive, if an
escalation were to become uncontrollable," Biggers, who was previously an
intelligence officer with the US National Geospatial-Intelligence Agency, told
The India Cable.
His analysis is based on massive assets deployment near Tianwendian, a Chinese
border outpost in the disputed Aksai Chin region.
Media reports suggest that China's PLA has trespassed 17km inside the loosely
demarcated Line of Actual Control (LAC) in Depsang Plains.
In October, the military talks related to disengagement in this area ended in
bitter failure. Both sides accused the other of persisting with unrealistic
and unreasonable demands to solve the ongoing border stand-off.
Unverified satellite images posted on social media by Jack Detsch, an American
journalist, indicate continuous infrastructure build-up such as helipads and
shelters for military assets at the backup position between Finger 8 and
Sirijap, along the North Bank of Pangong Tso.
India and China agreed to disengage from the friction points at the northern
and southern banks of the Pangong Tso Lake in February this year. Both the
countries withdrew their tanks, troops from forward areas.
However, the images captured by US-based space firm Maxar Technologies in
October show significant consolidation of the Chinese build-up despite
February's disengagement agreement. Unverified imagery also shows Chinese
boats and a jetty near Sirijap.
In October, Indian Army Chief General Manoj Mukund Naravane assured the nation
there's a counter-strategy against "substantial infrastructure and deployment"
by China along the LAC.
"It is a matter of concern that the large-scale build-up has occurred and
continues to be in place, and to sustain that kind of a build-up, there has
been an equal amount of infrastructure development on the Chinese side", Gen
Naravane said at the India Today conclave on 9 October.
On Monday, Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi said that China and India have
kept talks open through diplomatic and military channels, and effectively
managed and controlled frictional border areas under a shared commitment to
improving and developing bilateral relations.
The border stand-off has lasted months and erupted over infrastructure
development in the eastern Ladakh area in April 2020. One out of a series of
border clashes led to the killing of 20 Indian and four Chinese soldiers in
the Galwan Valley on 15-16 June in 2020.
The primary border dispute between the two countries lies in the Ladakh region
and Arunachal Pradesh. New Delhi considers the loosely demarcated border to be
3,488km and Beijing believes it to be only 2,000 km.
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