Safran Pledges Indian Engine Line As Rafale Talks Gain Momentum

Safran, the French engine manufacturer renowned for powering Dassault Aviation's Rafale fighter jets, has signalled its willingness to establish an engine assembly line in India. This move comes amid ongoing negotiations between the French and Indian governments for the acquisition of 114 additional Rafale aircraft, reported Reuters.

Olivier Andries, Safran's CEO, made the announcement on Friday, emphasising the company's commitment to meeting India's push for localised production.

The M-88 engines, which equip the Rafale jets, form the core of this prospective partnership. Safran not only plans to assemble these engines on Indian soil but also intends to source components from local suppliers. This strategy aims to bolster India's burgeoning aerospace sector, fostering technology transfer and indigenous manufacturing capabilities.

India's defence ministry took a significant step forward on Thursday by granting initial clearance for several high-value procurements. Among these are the Rafale jets and Boeing P-8I maritime patrol aircraft. The approvals pave the way for accelerated discussions, timed perfectly ahead of French President Emmanuel Macron's forthcoming visit to India next week.

For India, this development aligns seamlessly with its 'Make in India' initiative, which prioritises self-reliance in defence production. Establishing a Safran assembly line would mark a milestone in aerospace collaboration, reducing import dependency and creating skilled jobs. It could also stimulate a supply chain ecosystem, drawing in private firms like Tata Advanced Systems and Bharat Electronics Limited.

Olivier Andries highlighted Safran's proactive stance during a media briefing in Paris. He underscored the firm's readiness to invest in Indian infrastructure, provided the deal progresses as anticipated. This includes not just assembly but integration with local vendors, potentially covering critical components such as turbine blades and avionics interfaces.

The Rafale program has already proven transformative for the Indian Air Force. The initial 36 jets, inducted in 2020, have enhanced operational readiness along tense borders with China and Pakistan. Expanding the fleet to over 150 aircraft would significantly bolster air superiority, especially amid rising regional threats.

Geopolitically, the deal strengthens the France-India strategic partnership. It builds on prior successes like the Scorpene submarine project and joint exercises such as Varuna. Macron's visit is expected to seal offsets and financing terms, with Safran's engine pledge serving as a key sweetener.

Challenges remain, however. Negotiations must navigate pricing, technology safeguards, and offsets exceeding 50 per cent of the contract value. Indian officials have driven hard bargains in the past, securing substantial local content. Safran's adaptability will be tested against these demands.

Localisation efforts could extend beyond assembly. Safran has hinted at joint ventures for maintenance, repair, and overhaul (MRO) facilities. This would position India as a regional hub for Rafale sustainment, attracting business from friendly nations like the UAE and Indonesia.

Economically, the ripple effects promise substantial growth. Aerospace exports from India could surge, supported by skill development programs. Partnerships with Hindustan Aeronautics Limited (HAL) might integrate M-88 tech into future indigenous platforms like the TEJAS MK-2.

Critics may question the pace of indigenisation. While Safran's commitment is welcome, full design autonomy remains distant. Nonetheless, this step accelerates India's defence manufacturing ambitions, complementing DRDO's engine programs such as the Kaveri.

As talks intensify, all eyes are on Macron's itinerary. Defence remains a centrepiece, alongside climate and trade pacts. Safran's bold overture could tip the scales, heralding a new era of Franco-Indian aerospace synergy.

Based On Reuters Report

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DAC Clears Path For SCALP Missiles To Bolster IAF's Strike Arsenal

The Defence Acquisition Council (DAC), chaired by Defence Minister Rajnath Singh, has granted approval for the procurement of SCALP cruise missiles, marking a significant boost to the Indian Air Force's long-range strike capabilities.

This decision comes amid advanced negotiations with France for a deal valued at approximately €300 million, or around ₹3,200 crore, following the missiles' proven effectiveness in combat.

Reports indicate that between 100 and 150 SCALP missiles are under consideration, to be integrated with the existing Rafale fighter fleet, enhancing India's standoff precision strike options.

The SCALP, also known as Storm Shadow, is a Franco-British air-launched cruise missile developed by MBDA, featuring a low-observable design for evading enemy radars.

With a range exceeding 250 km—potentially up to 500 km in optimal conditions—it employs turbojet propulsion and flies at low altitudes for terrain-hugging navigation.

Guidance relies on inertial navigation, GPS, terrain-referencing radar, and an infrared seeker for terminal accuracy, ensuring minimal collateral damage against high-value targets.

Its 450 kg BROACH tandem warhead penetrates fortified bunkers or command centres before detonating, making it ideal for deep strikes on hardened infrastructure.

The missile's combat validation occurred during Operation Sindoor last year, where Rafale jets launched SCALP alongside BrahMos missiles to destroy terrorist headquarters in Pakistan's Muridke and Bahawalpur districts.

These precision strikes evaded Pakistani defences, neutralised Jaish-e-Mohammed and Lashkar-e-Taiba facilities with pinpoint accuracy, and contributed to a swift ceasefire.

One Rafale can carry two SCALPs, complementing indigenous systems like BrahMos and positioning the platform as a cornerstone of IAF's multi-role offensive doctrine.

The DAC nod aligns with broader approvals in the same meeting, including 114 additional Rafale jets and Meteor air-to-air missiles, totalling over ₹3.6 lakh crore in capital acquisitions.

This package also covers S-400 missiles, P-8I aircraft, and high-altitude pseudo-satellites, underscoring a comprehensive modernisation drive for air superiority and deterrence.

Procurement follows the standard DAP process: Acceptance of Necessity from DAC, cost negotiations, and final Cabinet Committee on Security clearance, prioritising operational urgency.

The deal strengthens the India-France strategic partnership, building on prior Rafale deals, while addressing squadron shortages amid threats from China and Pakistan.

Though focused on foreign procurement, it supports India's Atmanirbhar Bharat push by integrating proven systems until indigenous equivalents like the Nirbhay cruise missile mature.

SCALP's induction will fortify IAF's ability to conduct deep-penetration raids without risking aircraft in contested airspace, vital for two-front scenarios.

Defence analysts view this as a timely response to regional escalations, with the Rafale-SCALP-BrahMos trio offering versatile, high-lethality options.

Negotiations emphasise technology transfer and local production, potentially involving Indian offsets to enhance domestic manufacturing under Dassault partnerships.

The approval precedes high-level visits, including possible French engagements, accelerating delivery timelines for rapid fleet integration.

This DAC clearance signals resolute commitment to bolstering precision deep-strike prowess, validated in real operations and poised for future conflicts.

IDN (With Agency Inputs)

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Rafale Goes Indigenous: 'First Outside-France Build With Major India Localisation' Says Defence Secretary Rajesh K Singh

India's Defence Acquisition Council (DAC) has approved the procurement of 114 Rafale fighter jets, marking a significant milestone in the nation's military modernisation efforts. Defence Secretary Rajesh Kumar Singh highlighted that this deal represents the first instance of Rafale aircraft being manufactured outside France, with substantial localisation under the 'Make in India' initiative.

Speaking exclusively to ANI, Singh emphasised that the program will achieve 40 to 50 per cent localisation. This approach ensures that a major portion of the jets' production occurs within India, bolstering domestic manufacturing capabilities and reducing reliance on foreign imports.

The agreement is structured as a government-to-government pact, eliminating intermediaries and ensuring complete transparency. Singh described this as a cornerstone of the project, fostering trust and efficiency in the procurement process.

A key advantage lies in the full authority to integrate Indian weapons and systems onto the Rafale platforms. This customisation enhances interoperability with existing IAF assets and aligns the jets with India's indigenous defence ecosystem.

Delivery timelines are aggressive, with the first Rafale Marine variants expected in 2028. Subsequent Air Force Rafales will follow approximately three and a half years later, enabling swift induction into service and addressing critical squadron strength shortages.

The DAC meeting, chaired by Defence Minister Rajnath Singh, greenlit multiple proposals worth around ₹3.60 lakh crore. For the Indian Air Force (IAF), approvals covered the Multi-Role Fighter Aircraft (MRFA) procurement—specifically the Rafale—alongside combat missiles and airship-based high-altitude pseudo-satellites (AS-HAPS).

The MRFA acquisition will dramatically strengthen the IAF's air-dominance capabilities across varied conflict scenarios. It promises long-range offensive strikes, significantly enhancing deterrence against regional threats.

Most of the 114 Rafales will be produced in India, aligning with self-reliance goals. This localisation push involves partnerships with domestic firms, potentially including Hindustan Aeronautics Limited (HAL) and private players like TATA Advanced Systems.

Combat missiles under the approval will bolster stand-off ground-attack precision, offering deep-strike power with exceptional accuracy. These systems will extend the IAF's reach, targeting high-value assets beyond enemy air defences.

AS-HAPS platforms will provide persistent intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance (ISR). They will support electronic intelligence, telecommunications, and remote sensing, filling gaps in high-altitude, long-endurance monitoring.

This procurement comes amid heightened geopolitical tensions, particularly along India's northern and western borders. The Rafale's proven 4.5-generation capabilities, including advanced avionics and weaponry, will modernise ageing squadrons and counter adversaries' superior numbers.

The government-to-government framework draws from the earlier 36 Rafale deal, but scales up indigenisation significantly. It sidesteps competitive bidding under Defence Acquisition Procedure (DAP) 2020, expediting timelines while maintaining strategic oversight.

Localisation at 40-50 per cent could encompass airframes, avionics integration, and final assembly. Indian offsets may include technology transfer for engines, radars like the RBE2 AESA, and spectrum warfare systems.

Integration of Indian weapons—such as Astra beyond-visual-range missiles, Rudram anti-radiation missiles, and BrahMos cruise missiles—will create a truly hybrid platform. This 'India-specific' Rafale enhances lethality and reduces logistics dependencies.

For the Navy, Rafale Marines will operate from carriers like INS Vikrant, expanding maritime strike options. Twin-engine reliability suits carrier operations, while IAF variants will bolster land-based air superiority.

The ₹3.60 lakh crore package underscores India's defence spending surge, prioritising high-impact capabilities. It reflects a balanced portfolio: fighters for offence, missiles for precision, and HAPS for persistent vigilance.

Critics may question costs, but proponents argue the deal's strategic value outweighs expenses. Rapid induction mitigates the IAF's squadron shortfall, projected to dip below 30 by 2027 without such procurements.

Private sector involvement, aligned with 'Make in India', could generate thousands of jobs and spur aerospace supply chains. Firms with DRDO ties, like Bharat Electronics Limited (BEL), stand to gain from subsystems production.

Geopolitically, deepening France-India ties counters China's regional assertiveness. Joint exercises like Garuda and shared QUAD interests amplify this partnership's resonance.

The DAC's nod signals resolute commitment to indigenous defence prowess. By blending French technology with Indian innovation, India positions itself as a formidable aerospace power, ready for 21st-century challenges.

Based On ANI Report

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Indian Deep-Tech Pioneer Space Fields Successfully Tests Historic Naval Rocket Solid Motor

In a landmark moment for India's defence innovation ecosystem, deep-tech start-up Space Fields has achieved a world-first by hot-firing a rocket motor specifically developed for the Indian Navy.

This feat marks the inaugural instance of a private Indian firm successfully testing solid propulsion hardware tailored for naval applications, underscoring the nation's push towards indigenous manufacturing under the Atmanirbhar Bharat initiative.

Space Fields, a Bangalore-based innovator in aerospace propulsion, designed, manufactured, and delivered the solid rocket motor systems to one of the Indian Navy's largest Armament Inspectorates. The hot-fire test, conducted under stringent naval oversight, validates the start-up's capability to meet the exacting standards of military-grade propulsion.

This accomplishment arrives at a pivotal juncture for India's naval modernisation. The Indian Navy, tasked with safeguarding vast maritime domains amid rising geopolitical tensions in the Indian Ocean Region, increasingly relies on advanced solid propulsion for missiles, underwater vehicles, and decoy systems. Space Fields' success bridges a critical gap previously dominated by public sector giants like DRDO and Hindustan Aeronautics Limited.

The solid propulsion systems in question are engineered for high-thrust, reliable performance in marine environments. Hot-firing—a rigorous test involving sustained combustion under real-world pressures—demonstrates the motors' thermal stability, structural integrity, and precise thrust vectoring, essential for naval armaments deployed from ships, submarines, or coastal batteries.

Founded by a team of ex-DRDO engineers and aerospace specialists, Space Fields has rapidly scaled from prototype development to full-scale production. Their proprietary grain formulations and composite casings offer superior energy density and reduced signatures compared to legacy designs, potentially enhancing the Navy's anti-ship and anti-submarine warfare capabilities.

This delivery aligns with recent naval procurement trends, including the induction of next-generation missiles like the SMART torpedo and vertical-launch systems on stealth frigates. By qualifying through a premier Armament Inspectorate—responsible for vetting munitions for platforms like the INS Vikrant carrier—Space Fields positions itself as a trusted private supplier.

The milestone reflects broader shifts in India's defence landscape. Private sector participation has surged post-2020 reforms, with startups now contributing to over 20% of aerospace contracts. Space Fields' feat follows similar breakthroughs by firms like Skyroot and Agnikul in launch vehicle tech, but extends into the defence domain for the first time at this scale.

Challenges remain, however. Naval propulsion demands corrosion-resistant materials for saltwater exposure and rapid deployability under combat conditions. Space Fields overcame these through iterative testing at their advanced Bangalore facility, incorporating AI-driven simulations to accelerate development cycles.

Economically, this success could save the Navy millions in import dependencies. Imported solid rocket motors, often sourced from Israel or Russia, face supply chain vulnerabilities amid global conflicts. Indigenous alternatives from Space Fields promise cost reductions of up to 40%, while bolstering strategic autonomy.

Looking ahead, Space Fields eyes integration into high-profile programs like the Nirbhay cruise missile variant and submarine-launched decoys. Navy officials have hinted at follow-on orders, signalling confidence in the start-up's scalability.

This hot-fire triumph not only elevates Space Fields but also inspires a new cadre of deep-tech entrepreneurs. It exemplifies how private innovation can complement state-led efforts, fortifying India's maritime deterrence in an era of hybrid threats from adversaries like China and Pakistan.

IDN (With Agency Inputs)

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India-China Dialogue Spotlights Border Peace And UNSC Support Amid BRICS Ties: MEA On India-China Strategic Dialogue

India and China have engaged in a crucial Strategic Dialogue in New Delhi, focusing on peace and tranquillity along their shared border.

The Ministry of External Affairs (MEA) confirmed that Foreign Secretary Vikram Misri met his counterpart, China's Executive Vice Foreign Minister Ma Zhaoxu, on Tuesday. This discussion formed part of Ma's visit, which overlapped with the BRICS Sherpa Meeting held from 8 to 10 February.

MEA spokesperson Randhir Jaiswal highlighted the dialogue during a weekly press briefing. He noted that several key issues were addressed, with border stability at the forefront. "This visit was in the context of the BRICS Sherpas meeting... During his visit, he also had a strategic dialogue with the Foreign Secretary... and several issues were discussed, including peace and tranquillity on the border," Jaiswal stated.

The talks underscored mutual recognition of border peace as essential for advancing overall relations. Both sides reaffirmed their commitment to leaders' guidance, approaching bilateral challenges—particularly trade concerns—from a political and strategic viewpoint rather than narrow economic lenses. This signals a deliberate shift towards stabilising ties post the 2020 Galwan clashes.

China's delegation conveyed understanding and respect for India's aspirations to secure a permanent seat on the United Nations Security Council (UNSC). Jaiswal emphasised the importance of this gesture in fostering progress. "China understands and respects India's aspirations for UNSC membership," he added, framing it as a positive step in diplomatic rapport.

Discussions extended to practical measures for people-to-people ties. Foreign Secretary Misri welcomed the resumption of the Kailash Mansarovar Yatra and expressed hopes for its expansion. Both nations agreed on the urgency of finalising an updated Air Services Agreement to boost connectivity.

Visa facilitation emerged as another priority, with commitments to streamline processes and encourage exchanges. These steps aim to rebuild trust eroded by years of tensions, promoting cultural and pilgrimage links that hold deep significance for Indian devotees.

Multilateral cooperation featured prominently, especially amid India's BRICS Chairmanship this year. The Chinese side pledged support for a successful BRICS Summit hosted by India. This alignment reflects shared interests in multipolar forums, countering Western-dominated structures.

The dialogue covered a broad spectrum of bilateral, regional, and global affairs. Exchanges focused on recent strides in stabilising relations, with both parties stressing implementation of high-level directives. Trade imbalances, a persistent friction point, were reframed strategically to avoid escalation.

This meeting occurs against a backdrop of tentative thaw in India-China relations. Following the October 2024 border patrolling pact, disengagement efforts have progressed in key friction areas like Depsang and Demchok. Yet, full normalisation remains elusive amid China's infrastructure buildup along the Line of Actual Control (LAC).

Geopolitically, the dialogue holds weight as India balances ties with China while deepening Quad partnerships and US alignments. China's BRICS support and UNSC nod could ease frictions, though scepticism persists given Beijing's South China Sea assertiveness and Taiwan stance.

For India, prioritising border tranquillity aligns with 'Atmanirbhar Bharat' in defence. Enhanced patrols and indigenous surveillance tech, like DRDO's UAVs, bolster deterrence without provocation. The talks thus serve as a diplomatic buffer amid military modernisation.

Economically, strategic trade approaches may address India's narrowing deficit—from $101 billion in FY24 to projected moderation. Commitments to political oversight could curb dumping in sectors like electronics and solar panels, vital for Indian manufacturing.

Looking ahead, sustained dialogues are crucial. India's BRICS leadership offers a platform to test China's goodwill, while UNSC aspirations gain subtle momentum. Success hinges on tangible LAC de-escalation and equitable trade reforms.

Observers view this as pragmatic diplomacy, not euphoria. With China's economy slowing and India's rising clout, mutual interests favour stability. Yet, trust deficits from Galwan demand verifiable actions over rhetoric.

Based On ANI Report

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Macron's Fourth India Trip Spotlights AI Ties And Innovation Horizon

French President Emmanuel Macron is preparing for his fourth visit to India, invited by Prime Minister Narendra Modi. This trip underscores the robust momentum in the India-France strategic partnership, with a sharp focus on artificial intelligence cooperation and emerging technologies.

The French Embassy in India announced the visit via a post on X. President Macron will engage in bilateral meetings and attend the AI Impact Summit, highlighting yet another milestone in the evolving relationship between New Delhi and Paris.

This visit builds on a foundation of deepening collaboration across multiple domains. These include defence, space exploration, civil nuclear energy, climate initiatives, education, and people-to-people exchanges.

Macron's inaugural trip to India in 2018 opened a fresh chapter in bilateral ties. It bolstered the strategic partnership through intensified cooperation in defence, space, civil nuclear energy, climate action, education, and cultural links.

In 2023, Macron returned for the G20 Summit hosted by India. Discussions there revolved around global economic governance, climate action, sustainable development, and inclusive growth, echoing the summit's theme of "Vasudhaiva Kutumbakam—One Earth, One Family, One Future."

The French leader's 2024 state visit proved particularly landmark. As chief guest for India's 75th Republic Day parade, it cemented France's status as the most frequently invited nation for such honours, with six invitations over the years.

During that 2024 visit, Modi and Macron proclaimed 2026 as the India-France Year of Innovation. This initiative signals a forward-thinking alliance centred on technology, research, and collaborative advancements.

The upcoming visit, scheduled from 17 to 19 February, will see Macron participate in the AI Impact Summit. Billed as the first global AI summit hosted in the Global South, it will take place in New Delhi, emphasising the priority both nations place on critical technologies like AI.

Prime Minister Modi and President Macron will hold comprehensive talks. These will advance cooperation under the Horizon 2047 Roadmap, a long-term blueprint for the strategic partnership.

The leaders will jointly launch the India-France Year of Innovation 2026 in Mumbai. This year-long programme, spanning both countries, seeks to enhance ties in innovation, technology, research, and interpersonal exchanges.

Discussions will also cover pivotal regional and global matters. Topics include Indo-Pacific cooperation, reflecting the increasing strategic alignment between India and France.

The visit follows Prime Minister Modi's trip to France in February 2025. There, he co-chaired the AI Action Summit with Macron, illustrating the mutual trust and depth characterising their partnership.

India and France share historically close relations, underpinned by a Strategic Partnership launched on 26 January 1998. This was India's inaugural such alliance, designed to bolster strategic autonomy through enhanced bilateral engagement.

Defence and security, civil nuclear issues, and space form the core pillars of this cooperation. A robust Indo-Pacific dimension has since been integrated, broadening its scope.

The AI Impact Summit runs from 16 to 20 February at Bharat Mandapam in New Delhi. Structured as a five-day event, it encompasses policy dialogues, research forums, industry showcases, and public engagement.

Anchored on three "Sutras"—People, Planet, and Progress—the summit will convene global leaders, policymakers, tech firms, innovators, and experts. They will explore AI's transformative potential in governance, innovation, and sustainable development.

Complementing the summit, the India AI Impact Expo covers over 70,000 square metres. It will host more than 300 exhibitors from 30 countries across 10 thematic pavilions, demonstrating AI's shift from experimental stages to widespread deployment.

The event aligns seamlessly with India's development-oriented AI strategy. It dovetails with the IndiaAI Mission and Digital India Initiative, prioritising actionable, people-focused outcomes from global AI discourse.

This visit reaffirms the enduring strategic synergy between two nations committed to mutual progress. As they navigate shared challenges, India and France continue to forge pathways for innovation and global stability.

Based On ANI Report

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'India's Autonomy Key To US Strategy Against Chinese Hegemony in Indo-Pacific', Says Paul Kapur

US Assistant Secretary for South and Central Asia, Paul Kapur, has described India as a vital ally in countering China's growing influence across the Indo-Pacific.

Speaking on Wednesday during a subcommittee hearing on America's foreign policy in South and Central Asia, Kapur emphasised that a robust and independent India plays a crucial role in maintaining regional balance.

He explained that India's strength inherently limits China's dominance. A capable India, he noted, not only restricts China's foothold in the Indo-Pacific but also prevents any single power from imposing coercive control over the region. This aligns directly with US strategic objectives.

Kapur highlighted India's value in preserving its own autonomy. An India that stands firm, maintains freedom of action, and resists external pressures effectively removes a vast portion of the Indo-Pacific from China's influence. By definition, this curbs Beijing's path to regional hegemony.

The official stressed the importance of India's independence across key domains. Economically and militarily, India must build sufficient capacity to avoid reliance on China. Enhanced defence capabilities and technological prowess would bolster this self-reliance.

In Kapur's view, a prosperous and strong India represents a clear strategic victory for the United States. It secures a significant swath of the Indo-Pacific, anchoring stability in South Asia and the western Indo-Pacific more broadly.

India's attributes—its size, strategic location, and dedication to a free and open region—position it as a natural anchor. High-level diplomatic engagements, such as the 2+2 Ministerial, underscore the depth of US-India ties.

Cooperation extends into defence technology and energy sectors, both bilaterally and through the Quad framework. Despite past frictions, these partnerships have proven resilient, as seen in the renewed 10-year US-India defence framework agreement and the TRUST initiative.

India's procurement of US products, from drones to liquefied natural gas, further exemplifies this robust collaboration. Kapur pointed to these developments as evidence of sustained momentum.

Recent trade resolutions have paved the way for deeper ties. Following a trade framework agreed last week between President Trump and Prime Minister Modi, attention can now shift to mutual priorities like reducing trade barriers.

This agreement promises enhanced prosperity for both nations. It will also strengthen India's ability to safeguard its sovereignty on land and in its maritime neighbourhood.

The India-US Interim Agreement, unveiled last week, serves as a blueprint for reciprocal trade benefits. It targets tariff reductions on US industrial goods and a broad array of food and agricultural products, including dried distillers' grains, red sorghum for animal feed, tree nuts, fresh and processed fruits, soybean oil, wine, and spirits.

In exchange, the US will impose an 18 per cent reciprocal tariff on select Indian exports such as textiles, apparel, leather, footwear, plastics, rubber, organic chemicals, home decor, artisanal products, and certain machinery. Full implementation will eliminate US tariffs on generic pharmaceuticals, gems and diamonds, and aircraft parts.

Not all views during the hearing aligned with Kapur's optimism. Ranking Member from California, Representative Kamlager-Dove, sharply criticised Trump 2.0's diplomatic approach. She accused it of undermining US interests in the region.

Kamlager-Dove highlighted Trump's April tariffs on South and Central Asian partners as a disruptive shock. These measures exacerbated debt vulnerabilities to China, particularly the 50 per cent tariffs on India—the highest globally—which strained bilateral relations.

She argued that these tariffs ruptured decades of trust-building. Prolonged negotiations delayed the annual Quad leaders' summit, weakening the US posture against China in the Indo-Pacific.

Kapur countered by affirming the resilience of US-India cooperation. Trade issues have been addressed, allowing focus on shared goals. The recent framework with Modi signals a return to constructive engagement.

Kapur's testimony reinforces India's pivotal role in US strategy. A strong, independent India not only counters China but fosters a balanced Indo-Pacific, benefiting both nations amid evolving geopolitical dynamics.

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India-EU FTA Accelerates: Commerce Secretary Eyes Operational Deal In Under 12 Months

India and the European Union are accelerating negotiations for a landmark Free Trade Agreement (FTA), with Commerce Secretary Rajesh Agrawal expressing confidence that it could become operational within a year. Speaking in Nuremberg, Germany, on 11 February 2026, Agrawal described the talks as proceeding on a "very fast track basis," underscoring a mutual determination to expedite the process.

This optimism stems from recent high-level discussions between Indian and European officials. Agrawal highlighted his engagements with key counterparts, including Germany's Minister of Agriculture, where he outlined the FTA's potential to foster synergies across sectors. Such interactions signal a renewed push to overcome longstanding hurdles in the negotiations.

The Commerce Secretary emphasised that the agreement promises substantial growth not only in bilateral trade but also in investments. He portrayed it as a catalyst for deeper economic integration, extending its benefits beyond mere merchandise exchanges to encompass services, technology transfers, and joint ventures.

However, Agrawal candidly acknowledged the complexities involved. The FTA's finalisation requires meticulous legal scrutiny, alongside translations into multiple languages to ensure compliance with EU standards. These steps, though time-consuming, are essential for crafting a robust and enforceable framework.

India's proactive stance reflects broader strategic priorities. Amid global supply chain disruptions and geopolitical tensions, an India-EU FTA could diversify trade partnerships, reducing reliance on traditional markets. For India, it opens doors to Europe's advanced manufacturing and green technologies, aligning with initiatives like Make in India.

Europe, in turn, stands to gain from India's burgeoning consumer market and skilled workforce. Sectors such as automobiles, pharmaceuticals, and renewable energy could see exponential growth. Agrawal noted that the pact would create "opportunities for both the European and Indian markets," fostering a balanced partnership.

The fast-tracking aligns with recent diplomatic momentum. Following virtual summits and ministerial meetings, both sides have resolved key sticking points, including tariff reductions and rules of origin. This progress contrasts with earlier delays caused by issues like market access for dairy and intellectual property rights.

If operationalised within a year, the FTA could boost bilateral trade, currently valued at over €120 billion annually, by 20-30 per cent in the initial years. Projections suggest enhanced exports of Indian textiles, IT services, and gems, while European machinery and chemicals find stronger footholds in India.

Investment flows are poised for a surge as well. European firms, already active in India's aerospace and defence sectors, may deepen commitments, complementing India's indigenous manufacturing drive. This resonates with New Delhi's expertise in defence technologies and aerospace engineering, potentially unlocking collaborations in civilian aviation and space tech.

The FTA bolsters India's position in the Indo-Pacific, countering China's influence while strengthening ties with a rules-based Europe. It also supports India's green transition, with provisions for sustainable trade likely to attract EU investments in solar and hydrogen projects.

Challenges persist, including domestic sensitivities in agriculture and non-tariff barriers. Yet, Agrawal's upbeat tone reflects confidence in political will from leaders on both sides. Prime Minister Narendra Modi's vision for economic self-reliance dovetails with the EU's quest for strategic autonomy.

The India-EU FTA represents a pivotal moment in global trade dynamics. As negotiations gain pace, stakeholders anticipate a deal that not only drives economic prosperity but also forges enduring strategic bonds.

Based On ANI Report

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Lula's High-Powered India Visit Signals Strategic And Economic Momentum With 14 Ministers And Top CEOs Accompanying Him

Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva is set to undertake a significant state visit to India from 18 to 22 February, accompanied by a high-level delegation comprising 14 ministers and leading chief executives from Brazilian firms.

This substantial entourage highlights the visit's pronounced emphasis on economic collaboration and strategic alignment between the two nations.

The centrepiece of the itinerary will be bilateral discussions between President Lula and Prime Minister Narendra Modi on 21 February. These talks, as outlined in a Ministry of External Affairs press release, aim to comprehensively assess the spectrum of India-Brazil relations and devise measures to bolster their strategic partnership.

Accompanying ministers are slated to engage in parallel meetings with their Indian counterparts, fostering specialised dialogues across key sectors. Meanwhile, the cadre of top Brazilian CEOs will convene at a dedicated Business Forum, signalling the burgeoning trade and commercial ties that have gained momentum in recent years.

Anticipated discussion themes span a broad array, including trade and investment augmentation, defence cooperation, energy pursuits—particularly renewables—agriculture, health, and pharmaceuticals. Further focus will fall on critical minerals, rare earth materials, as well as advancements in science, technology, and innovation.

Particular attention is expected on collaborative ventures in Digital Public Infrastructure (DPI) and artificial intelligence (AI). Space exploration and initiatives to enhance people-to-people connections will also feature prominently, reflecting shared priorities in emerging technologies.

Beyond bilateral matters, the leaders will deliberate on regional and global challenges of mutual concern. Topics include multilateral cooperation, reformed multilateralism, global governance, and advocacy for the Global South's interests.

India and Brazil align closely on pressing international issues such as United Nations reforms, climate change mitigation, and counter-terrorism efforts. These common stances underscore the potential for concerted action on the world stage.

Prime Minister Modi will host a luncheon in honour of President Lula, adding a ceremonial dimension to the proceedings. President Droupadi Murmu is scheduled to receive the visitor and host a state banquet, while Vice President C. P. Radhakrishnan and External Affairs Minister S. Jaishankar will pay courtesy calls.

President Lula will additionally grace the 2nd India AI Impact Summit on 19 and 20 February, injecting further impetus into technological dialogues. This participation aligns seamlessly with the summit's focus on AI's transformative potential.

This forthcoming trip marks President Lula's sixth visit to India. His inaugural journey occurred in 2004 as the Guest of Honour for Republic Day festivities, with his most recent appearance in September 2023 at the G20 Summit.

Frequent interactions between the two leaders persist. Prime Minister Modi undertook a landmark state visit to Brasília on 7-8 July 2025—the first by an Indian premier in 57 years. They also convened in Johannesburg during the G20 in November 2025.

The visit presents a pivotal juncture for both nations to outline a progressive roadmap. It promises to fortify the India-Brazil strategic partnership while amplifying cooperation across bilateral, regional, and global domains on shared priorities.

Based On ANI Report

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'Increase Export…' Auto Industry Expert Bagga Outlines Industry Roadmap After Trade Deal With US

Gurbani Bagga, Partner at Boston Consulting Group, has outlined a strategic roadmap for India's automobile sector following the recent India-US trade deal. Speaking in New Delhi on 12 February 2026, she emphasised the need to increase exports amid evolving global trade dynamics.

Her insights, shared via ANI, highlight opportunities arising from both the India-US agreement and the India-EU Free Trade Agreement (FTA).

Bagga launched a BCG report titled Bolts, Bolts, Bytes and Bots, which examines transformations required in India's auto supplier landscape. The report stresses adapting to technological shifts and supply chain demands driven by these pacts. It positions India to capitalise on preferential access for auto components in key markets.

The India-US interim trade framework, initiated under Prime Minister Narendra Modi and President Donald Trump in February 2025, offers limited tariff concessions on select US vehicle imports.

Duties on large internal combustion engine cars over 3,000cc will drop from 110% to 50% initially, tapering to zero over a decade via quotas. This selective opening prioritises premium and electric models while maintaining affordability barriers for mass volumes.

More critically for India, the deal grants preferential access to Indian auto components, eases select Section 232 tariffs, and tackles non-tariff barriers. India commits to reducing tariffs on US industrial goods and agriculture, with the US applying 18% reciprocal tariffs on Indian exports—potentially removable upon full Bilateral Trade Agreement (BTA) conclusion. This framework bolsters India's integration into resilient global supply chains.

Complementing this, the India-EU FTA reshapes the automotive outlook by facilitating exports, technology transfers, and manufacturing hubs. Experts like Ajay Bagga note that while cheaper luxury imports draw attention, true gains lie in Indian firms leveraging Europe as a production base. Equity markets reacted positively, with the BSE Sensex and Nifty gaining on FTA news.

Union Minister Jitin Prasada hailed both pacts at the ACMA Automechanika fair, calling them game-changers for auto components. He urged industry collaboration with government to seize wider overseas market access amid global uncertainties. ACMA President Vikrampati Singhania echoed this, anticipating enhanced competitiveness and technology ties.

Bagga's roadmap advocates overhauling the supplier ecosystem to meet export targets, drawing from BCG's analysis of $21 billion in 2024 auto component exports aiming for $100 billion. Focus areas include digitalisation, AI integration, and premiumisation to align with US and EU demands. This positions India as a global hub, reducing reliance on domestic sales.

Challenges persist, including rupee pressures and foreign investor outflows, yet sentiment remains optimistic. The pacts signal India's strategic pivot towards export-led growth in autos, engineering, and components. Implementation will hinge on policy certainty and industry agility.

As the supplier landscape evolves per BCG's Bolts, Bolts, Bytes and Bots, firms must invest in EVs, autonomy, and sustainability. Bagga's vision underscores timely action to convert trade deals into sustained economic momentum. India's auto sector stands at a pivotal juncture for global prominence.

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India-Israeli To Delegation Champion Ethical AI Collaboration At India Summit 2026

The Embassy of Israel in New Delhi has revealed that a prominent Israeli delegation will attend the India AI Impact Summit 2026, commencing on 16 February in the capital. This high-level group arrives amid growing bilateral ties, spotlighting opportunities in artificial intelligence and related fields.

Leading the delegation is Ilan Fluss, a former ambassador and the EDTs Policy Coordinator at Israel's Ministry of Foreign Affairs. His team comprises senior government officials, technology pioneers, researchers, and policy specialists, all intent on bolstering Israel-India cooperation.

Key focus areas include artificial intelligence, climate resilience, ESG investment, digital governance, and responsible innovation. These domains reflect shared priorities as both nations navigate the transformative potential of advanced technologies.

Ilan Fluss emphasised the moment's significance, stating that artificial intelligence is reshaping the global order. He underscored a joint responsibility for India and Israel to pioneer innovation rooted in ethics, blending advanced technology with human values.

Fluss described the delegation's presence at the summit as emblematic of a new era in bilateral relations. He highlighted co-creation in AI, deep tech, and digital public goods as bridges between societies, positioning the partnership as a global model.

During the summit, Israeli delegates will engage in high-level panels and bilateral meetings. Topics will span AI applications for climate adaptation, precision agriculture, digital public infrastructure, workforce transformation, and ethical oversight of emerging technologies.

Discussions will also delve into innovative ESG models, impact investment strategies, and public-private partnerships. These efforts aim to foster inclusive and sustainable growth, addressing pressing societal challenges.

Maya Sherman, Innovation Attaché at the Embassy of Israel, affirmed the aligned visions of both countries. She noted that their cooperation prioritises technology serving people, tackling real-world issues like resilient agriculture, future-ready skills, and responsible AI deployment.

Sherman pointed to the summit's role in mirroring the deep trust between Israeli and Indian ecosystems. She stressed a commitment to innovation that remains inclusive, ethical, and attuned to societal needs.

In preparation for the main event, the Embassy has hosted preparatory side events. These gatherings have nurtured dialogue among Israeli and Indian stakeholders from academia, industry, and government sectors.

The primary summit unfolds at Bharat Mandapam over the course of the week. Here, the Embassy anticipates close collaboration with key Indian partners, including the Indian Institute of Technology, Ropar (IIT-Ropar), Dhirubhai Ambani University, and the tech policy think-tank The Dialogue.

These partnerships seek to amplify bilateral engagement in AI and emerging technologies. By linking governments, industry, academia, and civil society, the initiative promises to elevate the strategic relationship between Israel and India.

This cooperation builds on longstanding defence and technology synergies, now extending into AI-driven solutions for global challenges. As both nations invest in ethical tech leadership, the summit could yield groundbreaking frameworks for international collaboration.

The event underscores India's rising stature in AI innovation, complemented by Israel's expertise in deep tech. Together, they aim to set benchmarks for responsible advancement amid rapid technological evolution.

Outcomes from the summit may influence future joint ventures, from climate tech pilots to AI governance policies. Stakeholders eagerly await announcements on memoranda of understanding or pilot projects emerging from these interactions.

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PM Modi Congratulates Tarique Rahman 'Remarkable Victory' In Bangladesh Polls, Reaffirms India's Commitment To Bilateral Ties

Prime Minister Narendra Modi has extended congratulations to Tarique Rahman, chairperson of the Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP), following the party's resounding success in Bangladesh's 13th National Parliament election.

In a post on X, Mr Modi shared details of his conversation with Mr Rahman, describing it as delightful and extending warm wishes for the future.

He congratulated Mr Rahman on the "remarkable victory" in the elections and pledged support for fulfilling the aspirations of the Bangladeshi people.

Mr Modi also reaffirmed India's steadfast commitment to the peace, progress, and prosperity of both nations, highlighting their status as close neighbours with deep historical and cultural ties.

This outreach came shortly after Bangladesh's Election Commission officially declared results for 297 parliamentary constituencies.

Results for Chattogram-2 and Chattogram-4 remain suspended, with announcements pending, while Sherpur-2's outcome has been declared but its gazette publication is on hold due to court cases. The Commission had issued suspension letters for Sherpur-2, Chattogram-2, and Chattogram-4 on 12 February owing to ongoing legal proceedings.

In the 297 declared seats, voters cast 48,074,429 'Yes' votes against 22,565,627 'No' votes, with a turnout of 60.26 per cent, as reported by Prothom Alo.

These figures were disclosed by EC Senior Secretary Akhtar Ahmed during a media briefing at the Election Commission's headquarters in Agargaon, Dhaka.

The BNP and its allies dominated, securing 212 seats in total.

The 11-party alliance led by Bangladesh Jamaat-e-Islami claimed 77 seats, while Islami Andolan Bangladesh won one, and independents took seven.

A detailed breakdown reveals the BNP clinched 209 seats on its own strength.

Jamaat-e-Islami secured 68 seats, the National Citizen Party (NCP) six, Bangladesh Khelafat Majlis two, Khelafat Majlis one, Bangladesh Jatiya Party (BJP) one, Ganosamhati Andolon one, and Gono Odhikar Parishad one.

The elections coincided with a referendum on constitutional proposals from the July National Charter, where the decisive 'Yes' victory underscored public endorsement for state reforms.

The total electorate for both the parliamentary polls and referendum surpassed 127.7 million, maintaining the same 60.26 per cent turnout.

Mr Ahmed reiterated these statistics during his briefing, signalling robust backing for institutional and constitutional changes amid Bangladesh's recent political transition.

This outcome positions the BNP-led government to advance reforms, potentially reshaping the nation's governance framework. Mr Modi's prompt engagement reflects India's proactive diplomacy towards its eastern neighbour, especially at a pivotal moment following the polls. The interaction underscores New Delhi's interest in nurturing stable bilateral relations, amid shared concerns over regional security and economic ties.

Tarique Rahman, operating from exile in London for years due to legal cases, leads the BNP remotely, making this victory a significant milestone for the opposition. The polls mark a departure from the Awami League's long dominance, following mass protests that ousted Sheikh Hasina's government last year.

India's response appears aimed at building bridges with the new leadership, contrasting with strains during the Hasina era over issues like trans-shipment and border management.

The BNP's alliance with Islamist groups like Jamaat-e-Islami has drawn international scrutiny, yet Mr Modi's message emphasises mutual prosperity over ideological differences. With results still pending for a few seats, the full parliamentary composition will solidify soon, paving the way for government formation.

This development holds implications for South Asian geopolitics, including trade corridors, water-sharing disputes, and counter-terrorism cooperation between India and Bangladesh.

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India's AI Impact Summit Signals Shift To Sovereign System Leadership, Says Shanghai Consul General Pratik Mathur

India's Consul General in Shanghai, Pratik Mathur, has positioned the forthcoming AI Impact Summit 2026 as a landmark declaration of the nation's strategic ambitions in artificial intelligence. In an op-ed published in Caixin Global, a prominent Chinese media outlet, Mathur asserts that the summit transcends mere technological exhibition.

It signals India's transition from AI adopter to a formidable global system-builder, capable of constructing expansive, dependable ecosystems that fuse computing power, data resources, talent pools, regulatory frameworks, and practical deployment.

Mathur contends that the forthcoming era of the global AI competition will hinge less on isolated laboratory innovations and more on nations' abilities to orchestrate comprehensive AI infrastructures. 

He highlights how India, through its IndiaAI Mission—endorsed by the cabinet with a substantial allocation exceeding 103 billion rupees over five years—has engineered a holistic approach. Unlike narrower national strategies centred on research grants or trials, this initiative encompasses the entire spectrum: compute infrastructure, datasets, foundational models, skill development, entrepreneurial support, and governance mechanisms.

A pivotal accomplishment of the IndiaAI Mission, according to Mathur, lies in bolstering the country's AI computing prowess via a nationwide GPU network. This democratises access, preventing dominance by a handful of corporate giants and laying the groundwork for hosting a summit of international stature. Complementing this is AIKosh, a centralised platform aggregating over 5,500 datasets and 251 AI models spanning 20 sectors, from agriculture and healthcare to public administration and climate resilience.

Mathur emphasises India's thrust into sovereign foundational models, underscoring a commitment to autonomy in critical technologies. He contrasts this with Eastern China's prowess in hardware manufacturing, automation, and industrial AI applications within global supply chains. India's model, he argues, uniquely embeds AI within digital public infrastructure, enabling deployment at unprecedented scales—not for thousands, but for hundreds of millions of users in everyday services.

The AI Impact Summit, scheduled from 16 to 20 February 2026 at Bharat Mandapam in New Delhi, will concretely manifest this end-to-end capability. It promises to unveil India's integrated architecture, from raw compute and data repositories to deployable models, applications, and a robust workforce pipeline. Mathur envisions it as a platform for global partners, including those from China's Yangtze River Delta, to witness a cohesive national AI framework in action.

Structured around three foundational pillars—People, Planet, and Progress—the event will delve into employment skilling, energy-efficient AI practices, and avenues for economic and social advancement. Seven thematic working groups, jointly led by voices from the Global North and South, will deliver actionable outputs such as proposals for AI Commons, verifiable AI tools, collaborative compute resources, and sector-tailored compendiums of use cases.

Attendees can anticipate explorations of AI's transformative effects across professions and industries, alongside insights into emerging skill demands amid shifting job landscapes. The summit facilitates matchmaking for startups with investors and partners, while spotlighting AI's role in empowering farmers, small enterprises, and service providers. Critical discussions will cover AI safety, governance, ethical deployment, data safeguards, and India's pursuit of indigenous models for strategic domains.

Central to the proceedings is the AI Impact Expo, which will feature hands-on demonstrations of AI applications in healthcare, agriculture, education, climate mitigation, energy optimisation, and accessibility enhancements.

These exhibits aim to demystify AI for citizens, illustrating its potential to resolve tangible challenges and elevate public service delivery. National skilling efforts, exemplified by the "Yuva AI for All" programme—a complimentary course fostering AI literacy among students and professionals—will also take centre stage.

Mathur concludes that true global AI leadership in the coming decade will accrue to nations excelling in scalable deployment, responsible oversight, and seamless economic integration. The AI Impact Summit 2026, he posits, firmly plants India in this vanguard, judged not by rhetoric but by demonstrable prowess in system-building.

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Taslima Nasreen Hails Islamist Defeat In Bangladesh Polls, Calls For Friendly Relationship With India

Taslima Nasreen, the prominent Bangladeshi writer and activist, has publicly welcomed the decisive defeat of Jamaat-e-Islami in Bangladesh's recent general election. She views this outcome not as a triumph for the victorious Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP), but as a vital rejection of Islamist extremism that has plagued the nation.

In a candid post on X, Nasreen described the result as "good news" primarily because it curtails the influence of Jamaat-e-Islami and associated jihadi elements. Over the past 18 months, she noted, these groups exerted brazen dominance, organising massive rallies, unleashing mob violence, and targeting vulnerable communities with impunity.

Jamaat-e-Islami's actions, according to Nasreen, included arson attacks on Hindu homes, brutal assaults leading to deaths, and the exclusion of women from political participation. She condemned their misogynistic rhetoric, which branded working women as prostitutes, opposed female leadership, and sought to enforce burqas, niqabs, and Sharia law that treats women as subservient.

The electorate's refusal to empower such a party, Nasreen argued, offers a temporary safeguard for secularism, human rights, and women's freedoms. This electoral rebuke comes amid heightened concerns over extrajudicial violence, moral policing, and the suppression of minorities.

Bangladesh's Election Commission declared results for 297 of the 13th National Parliament's constituencies on 13 February 2026. The BNP and its allies secured a commanding 212 seats, positioning them to form the next government with an absolute majority.

Jamaat-e-Islami, leading an 11-party alliance, managed only 77 seats—a sharp decline that underscores public repudiation. Independents claimed seven seats, while smaller parties like Islami Andolan Bangladesh took one.

Detailed breakdowns reveal the BNP's dominance, winning 209 seats on its own. Jamaat-e-Islami secured 68, with allies such as Jatiya Nagorik Party (six seats), Bangladesh Khelafat Majlis (two), and others filling the rest.

Results for Chittagong-2 and Chittagong-4 remain deferred, with one other constituency postponed earlier. Voter turnout reached 60.26 per cent, with 48,074,429 "yes" votes and 22,025,627 "no" votes recorded.

The Awami League's absence from the polls, due to a ban on its activities, marked a seismic shift after nearly two decades of dominance. This vacuum allowed the BNP to capitalise, reshaping Bangladesh's political landscape.

Nasreen outlined a comprehensive 15-point agenda for the incoming BNP government, urging a return to secularism. Key demands include revoking the July 1 charter, restoring constitutional secularism, and removing Islam as the state religion.

She advocated abolishing religion-based family laws in favour of a Uniform Civil Code to guarantee women's equality. Protections for minorities—Hindus, Buddhists, Christians, and indigenous peoples—alongside women's safety, must be prioritised.

Educational reforms feature prominently: ending madrasa systems and bolstering secular, science-based curricula. Universal access to education and healthcare, coupled with social safety nets, should address economic disparities.

Nasreen called for political pluralism, including lifting the Awami League ban to allow exiled leaders' return. She warned against Jamaat-e-Islami as the primary opposition, given its jihadi ties, and opposed family dynasties or religion-driven politics.

Further measures include reducing wealth gaps through economic development, ensuring freedom of speech and press, and unbanning suppressed books, theatre, and films. Memorials to the Liberation War, including the Dhanmondi 32 house, must be rebuilt.

She demanded an end to mandatory hijab or burqa impositions, with burqas and niqabs banned for security reasons. Jihadi militants recently released from prison should face re-arrest, and free thinkers exiled during Sheikh Hasina's rule must return safely.

Nasreen stressed mending ties with India, ending hostilities to foster friendly, pragmatic relations beneficial to both nations. She specifically urged the release of Chinmoy Krishna Das and other unjustly detained Awami League members, artists, writers, and journalists.

This election, held amidst Bangladesh's turbulent transition from Awami League rule, signals potential for reform. Nasreen's voice, long exiled for her secular advocacy, amplifies hopes for a more inclusive future while cautioning against lingering Islamist threats.

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US Bolsters Persian Gulf With Second Carrier Amid Iran Tensions

The United States is deploying a second aircraft carrier strike group to West Asia amid escalating tensions with Iran. The USS Gerald R Ford, accompanied by its escort ships, is en route from the Caribbean to reinforce US naval presence in the Persian Gulf.

This move, reported by The New York Times, signals heightened military posturing as Washington pressures Tehran over its nuclear program.

Four anonymous US officials confirmed the deployment, noting that the vessels will not return to home ports until late April or early May 2026. The USS Gerald R. Ford will join the USS Abraham Lincoln carrier strike group, which arrived in the region over two weeks ago alongside three guided-missile destroyers. This dual-carrier presence represents a significant escalation in US force projection.

The USS Gerald R. Ford's journey has been unusually protracted. Originally departing Norfolk, Virginia, on 24 June 2025 for a European cruise, it was redirected to the Caribbean as part of President Donald Trump's pressure campaign against Venezuela. The carrier's warplanes reportedly participated in a 3 January 2026 attack on Caracas that led to the capture of President Nicolás Maduro. Sailors, anticipating a return in early March, now face another extension.

President Trump, fresh from a meeting with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu on Wednesday, referenced past US strikes on Iran. He alluded to "Operation Midnight Hammer" in June 2025, when the US targeted Iranian nuclear sites at Fordow, Natanz, and Isfahan. Trump warned that Iran had been "struck by Midnight Hammer" previously for failing to reach a deal, urging Tehran to adopt a "more reasonable and responsible" stance.

Iran vehemently condemned those 2025 strikes as violations of international law and the UN Charter. Tehran maintains that indirect negotiations with Washington continue in Oman, though no formal US proposal has been tabled. Iranian official Ali Larijani, speaking to Al Jazeera, portrayed US engagement in talks as a shift away from military options towards a "rational path."

Larijani firmly rejected demands for "zero enrichment," asserting Iran's need for uranium enrichment in its civilian energy sector and medical isotope production. He issued a stark warning: should the US launch attacks, Iran would target American military bases across the region. This statement, carried by Iran's IRNA news agency, underscores Tehran's readiness to retaliate.

The deployment occurs against a backdrop of stalled nuclear talks. The US seeks curbs on Iran's programme, viewed in Washington as a pathway to weapons development, while Tehran insists on its peaceful intentions and sovereign rights. Trump's administration has blended diplomatic overtures with shows of force, echoing the "maximum pressure" strategy of his first term.

Regional allies, particularly Israel and Gulf states like Saudi Arabia, likely welcome the bolstered US presence. Israel's Netanyahu, a vocal critic of Iran's nuclear ambitions, has long advocated military readiness alongside diplomacy. The timing of Trump's comments post-meeting suggests coordination with key partners.

For the US Navy, sustaining two carrier strike groups in West Asia strains resources. Each group comprises over 7,500 personnel, dozens of aircraft, and supporting warships capable of precision strikes. The extended USS Gerald R. Ford deployment—now nearing nine months—raises questions about sailor morale and operational tempo.

Iran's response may extend beyond rhetoric. Tehran possesses an arsenal of ballistic missiles, drones, and proxies like Hezbollah and the Houthis, which could target US assets or disrupt Gulf shipping. Recent Houthi attacks on Red Sea vessels highlight such risks, potentially complicating US logistics.

Broader geopolitical ripples could ensue. Russia and China, Iran's partners, might condemn the deployments, while Europe—still smarting from 2025 strikes—urges restraint. India's position, balancing ties with the US, Israel, and Gulf energy suppliers, warrants close watching amid its own regional security concerns.

As talks in Oman proceed, the USS Gerald R. Ford's arrival could serve as leverage or provocation. Trump has framed it as insurance against Iranian intransigence, but miscalculation risks wider conflict. Observers will monitor for signs of breakthrough or breakdown in the coming weeks.

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